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Climate experts predict a 75% chance of La Niña which likely means heavy rain for SA
Posted by on May 17th, 2016

Given the current drought across South Africa i stumbled across a very interesting story that could spell good news by the end of the year. According to a new report and climate forecast, scientist are predicting a 75% chance of La Niña occurring by September this year. We all know what El Nino is and the devasting effect it has on agriculture and farming, but La Niña is pretty much the opposite. I’m no climate expert or scientist, but i did some checking and how La Niña would affect South Africa.

Found this from 2011.

la nina south africa

So La Niña brings rain to SA which would a very welcome relief for the water shortage crisis in SA which is currently a national disaster.

Last week the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) raised the forecast for the occurance of La Niña to 75% HERE. A quick google search brings up the following explanation of La Niña.

“La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and is associated with cooler than average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.”

“La Niña results in wetter-than-normal conditions in Southern Africa from December to February”.


Any weather experts wanna confirm that this is a reliable prediction for SA?

Rene says:
May 05, 2016 at 4:28 pm

A while back there was a post going around on Facebook/Twitter. Someone kept a newspaper clipping for a few years that said that South Africa is going to experience big drought in 2015 and then flooding in 2016. They kept the article because they wanted to check if it was right. I’ve been looking for that post I saw but can’t find it anywhere.

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